Serie B round 11

Catanzaro vs Udinese analysis

Catanzaro Udinese
61 ELO 71
1.6% Tilt -3.6%
293º General ELO ranking 57º
27º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Catanzaro
30.2%
Draw
32%
Udinese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Catanzaro
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
32%
Win probability
Udinese
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
+4%
-2%
Udinese

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Udinese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 1987
USC
Cremonese
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
57%
25%
18%
61 64 3 0
08 Nov. 1987
FCC
Catanzaro
2 - 3
Bologna
BOL
46%
29%
25%
61 66 5 0
01 Nov. 1987
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 1
Sambenedettese
SSS
57%
26%
17%
62 60 2 -1
25 Oct. 1987
TAR
Taranto
0 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
46%
29%
25%
61 60 1 +1
18 Oct. 1987
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
55%
27%
18%
60 65 5 +1

Matches

Udinese
Udinese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 1987
UDI
Udinese
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
68%
20%
12%
72 64 8 0
08 Nov. 1987
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
41%
28%
32%
72 62 10 0
01 Nov. 1987
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Barletta
SSB
73%
18%
10%
72 52 20 0
25 Oct. 1987
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
38%
28%
34%
73 63 10 -1
18 Oct. 1987
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Piacenza
PIA
69%
19%
13%
72 64 8 +1