Catanzaro vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCC
33%
28%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
FCC
18%
25%
57%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
USF
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
RAA
63%
23%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 1
FAN
67%
21%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
APR
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 2
PRG
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 1
GIU
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |