Catanzaro vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FCV
3 - 1
FCC
66%
22%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASA
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCC
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
BEN
7%
18%
75%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
FCC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 0
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FRO
2 - 2
NOC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 0
NOC
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NOC
0 - 1
LAT
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 0
NOC
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |