Catanzaro vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 2
FCI
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 1
FCC
30%
28%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
NOC
0 - 0
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOC
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
NOC
0 - 1
BEN
34%
30%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
VIG
2 - 1
NOC
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |