Catanzaro vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAL
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
NOV
2 - 0
FCC
44%
30%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
FCC
2 - 1
POT
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FCC
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
NAP
3 - 1
GCZ
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
NAP
5 - 2
CAT
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
NAP
0 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
INT
1 - 2
NAP
70%
19%
10%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |