Lega Pro Group C Round 28

Catanzaro vs Monopoli analysis

Catanzaro Monopoli
69 ELO 55
8.7% Tilt -6.2%
251º General ELO ranking 1767º
27º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
70.8%
Catanzaro
18.8%
Draw
10.4%
Monopoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
Catanzaro
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.3%
Win probability
Monopoli
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Catanzaro
Their league position
Monopoli
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
97
52
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Catanzaro
Monopoli
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Monopoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
VIT
Viterbese
1 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
10%
22%
68%
69 47 22 0
05 Feb. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 0
Fidelis Andria
FIA
84%
13%
4%
69 44 25 0
01 Feb. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
1 - 0
Turris Neapolis
TUR
81%
14%
5%
69 47 22 0
29 Jan. 2023
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
10%
22%
68%
69 48 21 0
22 Jan. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 0
Audace Cerignola
AUD
70%
19%
11%
68 55 13 +1

Matches

Monopoli
Monopoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
MON
Monopoli
2 - 0
Turris Neapolis
TUR
55%
25%
20%
55 48 7 0
05 Feb. 2023
VIT
Viterbese
2 - 0
Monopoli
MON
25%
26%
49%
56 46 10 -1
02 Feb. 2023
MON
Monopoli
1 - 0
Picerno
PIC
43%
28%
30%
55 55 0 +1
30 Jan. 2023
AUD
Audace Cerignola
1 - 3
Monopoli
MON
50%
25%
26%
54 54 0 +1
23 Jan. 2023
MON
Monopoli
1 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUS
37%
28%
35%
53 56 3 +1