Lega Pro Girone B Round 21

Catanzaro vs Lecce analysis

Catanzaro Lecce
56 ELO 70
-9.7% Tilt -9%
279º General ELO ranking 116º
27º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
17.2%
Catanzaro
23.5%
Draw
59.3%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
Catanzaro
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.3%
Win probability
Lecce
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
+2%
+2%
Lecce

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2014
FRO
Frosinone
3 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
64%
22%
15%
57 64 7 0
12 Jan. 2014
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 0
Prato
ACP
51%
26%
23%
57 56 1 0
05 Jan. 2014
FCV
Viareggio Calcio
1 - 1
Catanzaro
FCC
42%
27%
31%
57 54 3 0
22 Dec. 2013
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 2
L'Aquila
LAQ
68%
21%
12%
58 47 11 -1
15 Dec. 2013
PAG
Paganese
1 - 3
Catanzaro
FCC
24%
28%
48%
58 48 10 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2014
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
Benevento
BEN
54%
24%
23%
70 66 4 0
12 Jan. 2014
LAQ
L'Aquila
0 - 1
Lecce
LEC
8%
19%
73%
70 49 21 0
04 Jan. 2014
LEC
Lecce
2 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
73%
18%
10%
69 56 13 +1
18 Dec. 2013
NOC
Nocerina
0 - 3
Lecce
LEC
22%
24%
55%
69 56 13 0
15 Dec. 2013
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
57%
23%
20%
68 64 4 +1