Catanzaro vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
FCC
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCC
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 2
LAQ
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 3
FCC
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAQ
0 - 1
LEC
8%
19%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NOC
0 - 3
LEC
22%
24%
55%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIS
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |