Catanzaro vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
FCC
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCC
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
FCC
0 - 0
FIO
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AVE
0 - 0
FCC
44%
32%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
ROM
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VER
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
INT
4 - 0
LAZ
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
LAZ
4 - 3
VIC
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |