Serie A Round 3

Catanzaro vs Juventus analysis

Catanzaro Juventus
69 ELO 88
-0.5% Tilt -19.1%
272º General ELO ranking 11º
27º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.8%
Catanzaro
27.2%
Draw
49%
Juventus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
Catanzaro
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.9%
Win probability
Juventus
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro
-6%
-5%
Juventus

ELO progression

Catanzaro
Juventus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro
Catanzaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 1978
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 0
Catanzaro
FCC
67%
21%
12%
69 77 8 0
01 Oct. 1978
FCC
Catanzaro
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
61%
23%
16%
69 70 1 0
17 Sep. 1978
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
80%
13%
7%
69 85 16 0
03 Sep. 1978
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 0
SPAL
SPA
72%
18%
10%
68 60 8 +1
30 Aug. 1978
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 2
Catanzaro
FCC
63%
21%
16%
68 70 2 0

Matches

Juventus
Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 1978
JUV
Juventus
6 - 2
Hellas Verona
VER
77%
16%
7%
88 73 15 0
01 Oct. 1978
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 2
Juventus
JUV
28%
28%
43%
88 78 10 0
27 Sep. 1978
GLA
Rangers
2 - 0
Juventus
JUV
36%
28%
37%
88 81 7 0
17 Sep. 1978
JUV
Juventus
3 - 1
Nocerina
NOC
97%
3%
1%
88 48 40 0
13 Sep. 1978
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
Rangers
GLA
71%
18%
11%
88 81 7 0