Catanzaro vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
68%
22%
10%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 2
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
52%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 0
FCC
66%
22%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 0
CRO
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
CRO
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAT
44%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
TOR
0 - 0
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |