Catanzaro vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 4
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FRO
4 - 0
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 0
PIS
28%
27%
46%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 1
FCC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
ASA
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ASG
0 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRG
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |