Catanzaro vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAV
1 - 5
FCC
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
INT
4 - 1
FCC
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
3 - 1
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
ASC
3 - 2
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAT
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAV
72%
17%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
UDI
1 - 0
BOL
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
51%
30%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |