Catanzaro vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
74.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LAT
1 - 0
FCC
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
4 - 3
SSB
20%
26%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
5 - 4
FCC
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCC
3 - 3
GIU
73%
19%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
FCC
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
FCV
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
BEN
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASS
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |