Catanzaro vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
23.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRI
65%
24%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
PIA
0 - 0
FCC
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
48%
30%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 1
FCC
64%
24%
13%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 0
AVE
68%
22%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 2
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
TAR
2 - 0
VAR
34%
32%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
VAR
2 - 1
PIA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |