Catanzaro vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
USF
2 - 1
FCC
55%
28%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 2
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRI
65%
24%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
PIA
0 - 0
FCC
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIC
48%
30%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
REG
2 - 2
PES
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
REG
1 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 0
REG
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
REG
1 - 1
CAT
66%
23%
11%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 0
REG
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |