Castiglione vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
FCC
29%
27%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
OLG
0 - 1
FCC
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 0
PSM
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
FCC
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
SER
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 0
CIS
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 1
AUR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ACC
0 - 1
CIS
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 1
VIR
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |