Castiglione vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 0
FCC
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 3
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 1
SAN
23%
27%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
CUN
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
5 - 0
VIN
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
USC
1 - 2
ASS
77%
16%
8%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |