FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
CZJ
3 - 0
BWA
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
FVF
2 - 2
CZJ
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CRV
3 - 2
CZJ
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BFC
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 2
CZJ
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CRV
3 - 2
CZJ
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1979 |
CRV
3 - 1
GAL
73%
19%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
GAL
0 - 0
CRV
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1979 |
MON
1 - 0
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
CRV
1 - 1
MON
58%
21%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |