Caramba vs Alberts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caramba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 1
FKK
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCC
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAL
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
FCC
5 - 3
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
FCC
8 - 2
LIM
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
DIR
7 - 0
ALB
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
LDZ
6 - 0
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 60 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 1
LIE
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 2
TFK
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 2
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |