FC Brugg vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Brugg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 0
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 2
MAL
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LSS
8 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 1
KUS
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LUG
1 - 2
SCH
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 3
LUG
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 2
SAR
65%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
1 - 5
LUG
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 0
LUZ
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |