FC Brugg vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Brugg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 0
FCB
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAR
2 - 1
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 6
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUZ
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
AAR
4 - 1
FCB
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
FCS
2 - 0
SAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
FCS
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
FCS
1 - 1
LSS
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
KUS
1 - 2
FCS
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCS
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |