Bazenheid vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
58.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
16º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAZ
1 - 3
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
BAZ
16%
19%
66%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAZ
0 - 1
SEE
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAZ
3 - 4
FCB
53%
21%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
BAZ
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
WID
0 - 1
DSG
68%
17%
16%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WID
4 - 0
ALT
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SEE
0 - 1
WID
34%
21%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WID
3 - 0
DUB
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TAG
2 - 7
WID
14%
16%
71%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |