FC Basel Sub 18 vs Aarau Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
SFC
1 - 0
FCB
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TVA
4 - 5
FCB
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 3
FLK
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
TTI
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCS
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
TAA
2 - 1
TVA
30%
23%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TTI
0 - 4
TAA
67%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TAA
0 - 1
SFC
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 1
TAA
70%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TAA
3 - 3
STG
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |