FC Basel U18 vs FC Thun U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.4%
3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
22
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Basel U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LSS
2 - 3
FCB
9%
12%
79%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCZ
1 - 2
FCB
29%
20%
51%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
1 - 2
TWC
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BYB
5 - 4
FCB
52%
21%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAA
0 - 7
FCB
14%
16%
70%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thun U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STG
2 - 1
FCT
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LSS
2 - 0
FCT
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 3
FCZ
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TWC
1 - 2
FCT
87%
9%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NXA
4 - 0
FCT
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |