Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 3
AVA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 1
ALA
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
3 - 1
AVA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 3
AVA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AVA
0 - 1
PUS
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
BAN
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PYU
2 - 0
SHI
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 2
VAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 2
SHI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
NOA
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |