Ararat-Armenia vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRV
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
4 - 3
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
OMO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
0 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 2
ALA
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
STB
3 - 0
SHI
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
NOA
2 - 2
SHI
55%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
SHI
2 - 4
ALA
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |