Ararat-Armenia vs Fola Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
OMO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 0
NOA
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
4 - 1
UNA
77%
15%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 3
FOL
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 1
JEU
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
SHF
2 - 0
FOL
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
DIF
4 - 2
FOL
33%
23%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |