Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
66
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
4 - 1
AVA
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 2
BAN
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
BKM
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
AVA
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 0
LER
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 4
ALA
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 0
NOA
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
1 - 0
ALA
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
VAN
56%
26%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |