FC Augsburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUG
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
AUG
2 - 1
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
EIN
0 - 2
AUG
79%
12%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
AUG
1 - 2
WAL
49%
21%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1947 |
WAL
0 - 4
AUG
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FCN
2 - 1
FSV
84%
10%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
OFC
4 - 1
FCN
21%
22%
57%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FCN
2 - 2
BYM
69%
17%
14%
|
97 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
VFR
3 - 3
FCN
19%
22%
59%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
EIN
3 - 1
FCN
23%
23%
54%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | -1 |