Atlas FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
3 - 2
ATS
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 0
UCH
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 3
ATS
62%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
ATS
1 - 1
RIV
30%
23%
47%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1999 |
ATS
2 - 2
MIR
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
4 - 1
UCH
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 3
ATS
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
UCH
4 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |