Arlanda vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
14º
14º
14
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
STO
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 1
KAL
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
AFC
1 - 0
FCA
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
TAB
2 - 1
FCA
17%
18%
65%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
HTF
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 2
GEF
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 1
GEF
27%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
IFF
1 - 0
GEF
10%
15%
75%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
ASS
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ENK
2 - 0
GEF
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |