Ario vs Shahr Raz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
FCA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
DAM
0 - 0
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
NIR
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
SNF
0 - 0
FCA
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shahr Raz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
SHA
58%
24%
19%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
MSB
27%
29%
44%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
NIR
1 - 0
SHA
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
PAR
25%
26%
48%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 0
SHA
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |