Amical Saint-Prex vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
13º
1º
45
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amical Saint-Prex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 2
FCA
29%
23%
49%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 3
FCA
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
FCA
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
FCA
15%
18%
68%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 2
ODG
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 4
VER
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ODG
2 - 2
VER
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VER
2 - 1
ROM
26%
20%
54%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TER
3 - 3
VER
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
CON
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |