Alliance Aischdall vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance Aischdall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
FCA
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIN
78%
14%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
FCA
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FCA
3 - 2
MAM
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MER
4 - 0
BAS
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
LOR
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MAM
0 - 2
MER
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
WIN
0 - 4
MER
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |