Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
36%
25%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
FCA
3 - 2
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 1
ZUR
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
ZUR
3 - 2
STG
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
SER
0 - 2
ZUR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |