Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
ETO
0 - 1
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |