Aarau vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 0
NEX
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
SIO
0 - 1
FCA
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1993 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LAU
37%
30%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1993 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SIO
34%
30%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
SER
0 - 2
ZUR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |