Aarau vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCA
75%
15%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 3
FCA
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
LEM
2 - 0
WIN
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 5
FCV
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 2
WIN
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 2
LAU
33%
25%
43%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |