Challenge League Round 6

Aarau vs FC Wil analysis

Aarau FC Wil
67 ELO 59
14.8% Tilt 26.7%
742º General ELO ranking 1176º
15º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Aarau
19.7%
Draw
14.2%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Aarau
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.2%
Win probability
FC Wil
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+1%
+3%
FC Wil

ELO progression

Aarau
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2019
LAU
Lausanne Sports
5 - 1
Aarau
FCA
47%
24%
29%
68 72 4 0
18 Aug. 2019
CHA
SC Cham
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
13%
16%
71%
68 53 15 0
08 Aug. 2019
CHI
Chiasso
4 - 2
Aarau
FCA
14%
21%
65%
69 54 15 -1
02 Aug. 2019
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Grasshopper
GCZ
52%
23%
25%
70 67 3 -1
27 Jul. 2019
FCA
Aarau
4 - 1
SC Kriens
KRI
64%
20%
16%
69 60 9 +1

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
35%
26%
40%
58 59 1 0
17 Aug. 2019
RSZ
Red Star Zürich
1 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
14%
19%
67%
59 42 17 -1
11 Aug. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
30%
26%
45%
58 60 2 +1
03 Aug. 2019
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 3
FC Wil
WIL
48%
25%
27%
57 57 0 +1
26 Jul. 2019
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
23%
25%
52%
58 67 9 -1