Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 3
FCA
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCA
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
BIE
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFO
1 - 4
FCA
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
LOC
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 3
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FCW
0 - 7
WIL
11%
17%
73%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCV
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |