Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
YOB
3 - 1
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
THU
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |