Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1999 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCA
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
YVE
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FCA
2 - 1
YVE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
STG
3 - 0
ZUR
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
LAU
0 - 1
STG
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
STG
2 - 0
FCL
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
STG
1 - 3
ZUR
29%
28%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
SER
2 - 0
STG
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |