Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
THU
6 - 3
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 4
ZUR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
SER
3 - 1
THU
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SER
3 - 1
STG
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
SER
1 - 0
NEX
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
YOB
3 - 0
SER
45%
24%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |