Aarau vs Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 4
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 1
BEL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 4
YVE
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |