Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
GCZ
4 - 0
FCA
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 1
STA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 3
FCA
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 4
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SIO
2 - 0
NEX
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
STA
1 - 3
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 2
ETO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |