Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
1º
1º
4
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 33 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 29 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 26 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 26 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 20 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 17 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 17 |
10º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
52.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 3
FCA
32%
25%
44%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
THU
4 - 1
FCA
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
STU
1 - 4
FCA
29%
22%
50%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
WOH
1 - 5
FCA
5%
11%
84%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 5
NEX
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
2 - 3
SER
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 0
BIE
44%
23%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 0
NEX
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |