Challenge League Round 29

Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis

Aarau Neuchâtel Xamax
62 ELO 74
10.6% Tilt 22.2%
732º General ELO ranking 1609º
15º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
22.8%
Aarau
23.5%
Draw
53.7%
Neuchâtel Xamax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
Aarau
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.7%
Win probability
Neuchâtel Xamax
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-9%
Neuchâtel Xamax

ELO progression

Aarau
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2018
SCH
Schaffhausen
3 - 1
Aarau
FCA
49%
24%
27%
62 64 2 0
08 Apr. 2018
FCV
FC Vaduz
5 - 1
Aarau
FCA
60%
22%
18%
63 72 9 -1
02 Apr. 2018
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
60%
22%
19%
62 56 6 +1
16 Mar. 2018
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
28%
25%
47%
63 56 7 -1
12 Mar. 2018
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Rapperswil
RAP
46%
25%
29%
63 65 2 0

Matches

Neuchâtel Xamax
Neuchâtel Xamax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2018
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
3 - 1
FC Vaduz
FCV
47%
24%
29%
73 73 0 0
09 Apr. 2018
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
15%
21%
64%
73 57 16 0
31 Mar. 2018
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 0
Rapperswil
RAP
67%
19%
14%
72 64 8 +1
17 Mar. 2018
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
11%
19%
70%
74 53 21 -2
11 Mar. 2018
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
64%
20%
17%
74 66 8 0