Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 2
GCZ
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 0
CAO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
GCZ
3 - 0
FCL
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
FCL
2 - 1
STG
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1997 |
KRI
2 - 0
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |