Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
LAU
0 - 2
FCA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
FCA
2 - 2
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1988 |
FCL
3 - 2
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1988 |
FCL
3 - 0
YOB
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +3 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
STG
4 - 2
FCL
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
LAU
4 - 2
FCL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
FCL
2 - 0
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |