Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1987 |
STG
3 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
LOC
79%
14%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCA
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
62%
20%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCW
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1987 |
FCL
4 - 0
GCZ
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 4
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 0
LOC
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |