Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
BUL
2 - 1
FCA
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 0
GCZ
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1981 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
FCL
2 - 2
SIO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |